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� __新常_，政府_局有__并行的_控目_：_持_构改 革、_定__增_。__表述看似__，___度很大，因_二 者必_兼容。_构改革的要求是，有效_正_构扭曲，不搞大水 漫灌式_量刺激，_定增_的_期是，GDP 底_在 7% 左右和 6.5% 以上。 2015 年 GDP 增_ 6.9%~7.0%，_到中高速增_水平，除出 口指_外，城_失_率、消_物价、__增_、能耗下降和赤字 等重要宏_指_，都在政府_期_控范__。一种比_普遍的看 法是，目前 GDP 增_已_探底、__，__主_方面的向好格 局已_出_。我的__正好相反，目前增_下行是否探底并不确 定，_构改革深___并_解_，新常_的___痛期，__未 _去。
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